Experts estimate that each year the EU loses well over EUR 7 billion in revenue as a result of import VAT and customs fraud. They calculate that up to 7% of all commercial items are either counterfeit [2] or do not comply with basic European safety, health, or environmental standards.
Effective 1 July 2021, the EU's ecommerce fraud prevention measures will stop the import of non-compliant commercial items (commercial letter post, packets and parcels) by introducing mandatory electronic advanced pre-declarations which must be lodged with the EU authorities prior to the shipment of any item to the EU.
The growth in ecommerce goes hand in hand with increasing criminality. Buyers are drawn by low prices and special products offered on fake websites, hand over their money, but fail to receive their purchased items.
The number of complaints about fake delivery companies demanding additional payments to deliver goods is also increasing – often a non-existent product is sold via a fake website, with the fraudsters then posing as the delivery company and extorting more money from their victims to ostensibly cover import duties, etc.
Young adults are increasingly the focus of such scams, usually via social media channels.
According to the OECD Trade Task Force on Countering Illicit Trade [3], criminal networks have reacted quickly to the crisis, adapting their strategies to take advantage of the shifting online delivery landscape.
The following trends are being observed:
Over the medium and longer term, the COVID-19 pandemic will have several other effects on illicit trade and increase the need for active ecommerce fraud prevention.
The economic downturn and continued disruptions in supply chains will undoubtedly create additional opportunities for criminals; over the medium term this is forecast to result in substantial changes in illicit trade volumes, routes and composition.
In addition, limits on air transport and enhanced compliance regulations that are expected in global value chains will re-shape the trade routes and patterns for illicit trade, which could also lead to increased abuse of Free Trade Zones.
A reaction to this could be the establishment of more secure and compliant trade lanes, or even trade “super-highways”.
Industry and political policymakers are examining the need for comprehensive, structured co-ordination and ecommerce fraud prevention measures to counter illicit trade, the impact of cybercrime on ecommerce, and related scams.
Several areas in which enforcement needs to be stepped up have been identified:
Stakeholders have presented a variety of ways in which to tackle challenges enhanced by the COVID-19 crisis in the online environment and strengthen ecommerce fraud prevention.
They recall the problem posed by GDPR that limits the transparency of the WHOIS database, and the sharp increase in ecommerce and small parcel shipments that make the international trade more difficult to identify.
Key recommendations by the OECD experts on Countering Illicit Trade:
Where sites are found to be peddling counterfeit drugs or false information, domain name registrars should lock and suspend those domain names immediately upon notice from law enforcement or trusted third parties.
[1] Including fake and substandard medicines, test kits and other COVID-19-related goods. [2] Studies by the OECD and the EU Intellectual Property Office (EUIPO) show that trade in counterfeit and pirated goods amounted to up to 2.5% of world trade in 2013 / up to 5% of imports into the EU; Source: OECD/EUIPO (2018), Misuse of Small Parcels for Trade in Counterfeit Goods: Facts and Trends, Illicit Trade, OECD Publishing Paris. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264307858-en [3] The OECD published a Chairman's note on "Illicit Trade in a time of crisis". The document presents the Chair's summary of the Webinar "ILLICIT TRADE IN A TIME OF CRISIS” on 23 April 2020, organised by the OECD task force on countering illicit trade [4] A “good practice” example of this has been achieved by the top-level country domain registry in Denmark, resulting in a significantly reduced number of suspicious and illicit websites in the country. [5] A set of codes for securing the Domain Name System (DNS), the global database system that translates a computer's fully qualified domain name into an Internet Protocol (IP) address
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